Easing
The selected upstream signals are applying less pressure than the model’s balanced midpoint.
Quarterly authority release · October 2026
A plain-language pressure gauge for early planning. The October 2026 reading is elevated, led by material inputs, with continued Colorado wage growth and a positive annual national permit signal.
This is a dated quarterly reading, not live pricing. Keep the original observation periods with the score; confirm current costs and availability with the project team. For recent local notices, visit planning updates.
How to read the index
The selected upstream signals are applying less pressure than the model’s balanced midpoint.
The selected signals sit near the model’s midpoint. This does not mean bids will be flat or predictable.
More of the selected signals are moving in a direction that can complicate labor, purchasing, or timing.
The index is a planning indicator. It is not a cost estimate, a contractor-pricing guide, or a forecast for one property.
Elevated
Average weekly wages across covered Colorado employment rose 5.4%, compared with 3.9% nationally. This is a broad labor-market signal, not a construction-wage series.
Labor budgets and schedules deserve current local validation; this reading does not tell you what a specific trade should charge.
High
Steel mill products, nonferrous wire and cable, fabricated structural metal, and construction sand, gravel, and crushed stone all registered positive annual movements.
Metal-heavy and infrastructure packages may need shorter quote-validity periods, early pricing checks, or defined substitution rules.
Firming annually
National privately owned housing units authorized by permit were 3.5% above August 2025, but 2.7% below July 2026. This is national demand context, not a Colorado estate-project forecast.
The annual activity signal is positive; it does not establish availability for specialized local contractors or predict local review times.
Owner reading
Treat it as a reason to make pricing assumptions explicit and revisit them at the right milestones. It does not mean a project costs 83% more, that every trade is busy, or that an owner should rush into a contract.
Transparent calculation
In plain English, the Registry converts each published annual change to the same 0–100 scale, then combines the three categories. Materials receive the most weight because purchasing pressure is the strongest of the selected inputs; wages are next, followed by broader residential activity.
The model is Registry analysis. BLS and Census publish the underlying observations; neither agency publishes, sponsors, or endorses this index.
This is not a live or visitor-specific score. It is a dated quarterly Registry release. The site calculates the displayed number from the stored observations and weights whenever the website is built; the underlying observations change only after a scheduled, source-verified review publishes a new release.
The material average is 13.925%, so its score reaches the model’s 100-point cap. That cap limits sensitivity to further increases; it does not mean market pressure has reached a real-world maximum. The composite rises from July’s 76 to October’s 83 using the same formula.
Each year-over-year change uses score = 50 + (4 × percentage change), capped from 0 to 100 and rounded to the nearest whole point. The four named material series are averaged before scoring; the composite weights wages 35%, materials 45%, and residential activity 20%. Every production build independently reconciles the displayed result against the stored release inputs; it does not fetch or substitute new observations automatically.
The multiplier of 4 is an editorial sensitivity choice: a 12.5-point annual change would move a signal from the 50 midpoint to an endpoint. The 45% material weight reflects the four selected procurement inputs; the 35% wage weight keeps the Colorado labor signal substantial but acknowledges it is not construction-only; the 20% activity weight is lower because it is a national demand context signal. These choices are transparent, not statistically calibrated or agency-authored.
Release archive
July 2026 was the first published Registry index. Earlier scores have not been backfilled because doing so would create a false historical record. Each future release will preserve its source periods, formula, publication date, and any methodology change.
July observations, weights and score are unchanged. Download the July 2026 ledger (CSV).
Release record